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The Effect of a School-leaving Age Rise on the Prevalence of Teenage Fertility

We examine the intention to treat effect of an increase in the compulsory school-leaving (CSL) age in Hungary on the prevalence of teenage pregnancy in a regression discontinuity design. We find that the rise from age 16 to 18 decreased the probability of first birth-giving by 7 percentage points among Roma women. This is a relatively large effect; however, it vanishes by age 20. We support our findings by several robustness checks.  We discuss the potential problems with our empirical design and point out the further directions of this research.

Project details

This research was supported by Grant No. 112792 of the National Scientific Research Programme (OTKA).

ClientNational Research, Development and Innovation Office
Project leader Anna Adamecz-Völgyi
Duration01/09/2014 - 31/12/2015